⚡ GasAlpha
Updated February 27, 2026 at 02:08 PM · Auto-refreshes every 30 min
Feb 28 – Mar 09 · 4-Model Consensus
176.1
GWDDsGas-consumption-weighted degree days · 9 EIA census divisions
-34.9 vs 30-Year Normal (216.3)
+27.2 vs 5-Year Normal (154.2)
+3.5 vs Last Year (177.9)
Overnight Run Changes · 12z → 00z
GFS▼ 13.1WARMER
IFS▼ 3.3WARMER
GEFS▼ 24.6WARMER
AIFS▲ 3.0COLDER
| EIA Report |
Est. GWDD |
Projected Change |
Inventory |
Confidence |
Thu Mar 12 Report
(wk ending Mar 06) |
138.6 |
-47 BCF |
1,971 BCF |
High |
Thu Mar 19 Report
(wk ending Mar 13) |
102.3 |
+32 BCF |
2,003 BCF |
Medium |
Thu Mar 26 Report
(wk ending Mar 20) |
110.2 |
+15 BCF |
2,017 BCF |
Low |
Thu Apr 02 Report
(wk ending Mar 27) |
88.2 |
+62 BCF |
2,080 BCF |
Low |
Latest Report: Thu Feb 26 Report (wk ending Feb 20) (projected 2026-02-26)
GasAlpha Projected
-55 BCF
Est. GWDD: 142
EIA Actual
-52 BCF
Inventory: 2,018 BCF
As of: 2026-02-17
Net Long: +248k contracts
4-Week Change: -206k vs 4wk ago
Est. Feedgas
19.4 BCF/day
LNG Exports
17.5 BCF/day (122 BCF/wk)
Utilization
100% of 19.5 BCF/d capacity
vs Last Year
+4.2 BCF/d (+32.1%)
Source
EIA Monthly (~104d lag) — 2025-11
Nationwide Inventory
2,018 BCF
Weekly Change
-52 BCF
vs 5-Year Average
+25 BCF (+1.3%)
vs Last Year
+178 BCF (+9.7%)
| Region |
Inventory |
vs 5-Yr Avg |
vs Last Year |
| East |
364 BCF |
-42 BCF (-10.3%) |
+2 BCF (+0.6%) |
| Midwest |
441 BCF |
-52 BCF (-10.5%) |
+17 BCF (+4.0%) |
| South Central |
753 BCF |
-38 BCF (-4.8%) |
+65 BCF (+9.4%) |
| Mountain |
201 BCF |
+68 BCF (+51.1%) |
+33 BCF (+19.6%) |
| Pacific |
259 BCF |
+89 BCF (+52.4%) |
+61 BCF (+30.8%) |
