⚡ GasAlpha
Updated February 27, 2026 at 10:24 PM · Auto-refreshes every 30 min
Feb 28 – Mar 09 · 4-Model Consensus
233.5 GWDDs
Gas-consumption-weighted degree days · 9 EIA census divisions
+20.5 vs 30-Year Normal (216.3)
+82.6 vs 5-Year Normal (154.2)
+58.9 vs Last Year (177.9)
HH Prompt (NYMEX)
$2.857
-0.128 (-4.3%)
GFS (10-day)
226.4
GEFS (10-Day)
225.0
ECMWF IFS (10-Day)
247.3
ECMWF AIFS (10-Day)
235.5
GFS vs IFS Spread
20.9 GWDDs
GFS (14-day)
327.4
02-27 00z → 02-27 12z
GFS▲ 41.1COLDER
IFS▲ 69.8COLDER
GEFS▲ 53.9COLDER
AIFS▲ 65.1COLDER
Model Trend — Last 7 Days
GWDD Model Trend
Daily GWDD Forecast — Shape of the 10-Day Window
Daily GWDD Forecast
Storage Projection
EIA Report Est. GWDD Projected Change Inventory Confidence
Thu Mar 05 Report
(wk ending Feb 27)		 130.9 -30 BCF 1,988 BCF High
Thu Mar 12 Report
(wk ending Mar 06)		 173.6 -123 BCF 1,865 BCF High
Thu Mar 19 Report
(wk ending Mar 13)		 153.8 -80 BCF 1,785 BCF Medium
Thu Mar 26 Report
(wk ending Mar 20)		 125.7 -19 BCF 1,766 BCF Low
Thu Apr 02 Report
(wk ending Mar 27)		 88.2 +62 BCF 1,828 BCF Low
EIA Report Day
Latest Report: Thu Feb 26 Report (wk ending Feb 20) (projected 2026-02-26)
GasAlpha Projected
-55 BCF
Est. GWDD: 142
EIA Actual
-52 BCF
Inventory: 2,018 BCF
Miss
+3 BCF
IN LINE
Natural Gas Storage — 2026 vs Prior 5 Years
5-Year Storage Comparison
Henry Hub Natural Gas — 12-Month Forward Curve
Forward Curve
CFTC Managed Money Positioning — Henry Hub
CFTC Positioning
As of: 2026-02-24 Net Long: +290k contracts 4-Week Change: -21k vs 4wk ago
LNG Feedgas Demand
Est. Feedgas 20.4 BCF/day
LNG Exports 18.4 BCF/day (128 BCF/wk)
Utilization 100% of 19.5 BCF/d capacity
vs Last Year +5.0 BCF/d (+37.1%)
Source EIA Monthly (~74d lag) — 2025-12
LNG Exports Trend
10-Day GWDD Ranking vs Prior Years
GWDD Historical Ranking
Latest EIA Report — Week of February 20, 2026
Nationwide Inventory 2,018 BCF
Weekly Change -52 BCF
vs 5-Year Average +25 BCF (+1.3%)
vs Last Year +178 BCF (+9.7%)
Region Inventory vs 5-Yr Avg vs Last Year
East 364 BCF -42 BCF (-10.3%) +2 BCF (+0.6%)
Midwest 441 BCF -52 BCF (-10.5%) +17 BCF (+4.0%)
South Central 753 BCF -38 BCF (-4.8%) +65 BCF (+9.4%)
Mountain 201 BCF +68 BCF (+51.1%) +33 BCF (+19.6%)
Pacific 259 BCF +89 BCF (+52.4%) +61 BCF (+30.8%)
Data: NOAA GFS · ECMWF IFS · EIA Weekly Storage Report · CPC Gas-Weighted Regression (R²=0.950) · Next EIA report every Thursday 10:30am ET